Combat Edge Intelligence

Borislav Nikolić vs Raphael Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
-Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SecutorTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Borislav NikolićNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
78%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Borislav NikolićRaphael Assunção
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
8 (47%)
Submission
10 (36%)
2 (12%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Borislav Nikolić73%
Raphael Assunção 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Borislav Nikolić a 73% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raphael Assunção's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Borislav Nikolić enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Borislav Nikolić finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.