Boston Salmon vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
PHD AthleticsTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Boston Salmon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1595
If they lose-17→ 1563
If they win+17→ 1578
If they lose-15→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Boston SalmonRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Boston Salmon52%
Randy Costa 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Boston Salmon a 52% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Boston Salmon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1561, a 19-point edge.
Boston Salmon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.