Combat Edge Intelligence

Boston Salmon vs Randy Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Costa
us

Randy Costa

“The Zohan”

8-4-0BantamweightCFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
PHD AthleticsTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

Boston Salmon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Boston SalmonNow 1580
If they win+15→ 1595
If they lose-17→ 1563
Randy CostaNow 1560
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-15→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
37%
Strike accuracy
46%
7.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.58
60%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Boston SalmonRandy Costa
1550160016502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Costa58%
Boston Salmon 42%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Costa a 58% favorite over Boston Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Boston Salmon's way (47%).

Boston Salmon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1560, a 20-point edge.

Boston Salmon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.