Combat Edge Intelligence

Boston Salmon vs Shota Nagano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
39,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight133 lbs
PHD AthleticsTeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Boston SalmonNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Shota NaganoNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Boston SalmonShota Nagano
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Shota Nagano66%
Boston Salmon 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shota Nagano a 66% favorite over Boston Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Boston Salmon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.

Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Boston Salmon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.