Brad Blackburn vs DaMarques Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record15-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamElite Performance
What's at stake
DaMarques Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Brad Blackburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1523
If they lose-13→ 1491
If they win+13→ 1575
If they lose-19→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad BlackburnDaMarques Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
DaMarques Johnson60%
Brad Blackburn 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes DaMarques Johnson a 60% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
DaMarques Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1504, a 58-point edge.
Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, DaMarques Johnson 87%.
Brad Blackburn and DaMarques Johnson share 2 common opponents: Amir Sadollah and Edgar Garcia.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.