Brad Blackburn vs Edgar Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamArizona Athletic Club
What's at stake
Edgar Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Brad Blackburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1492
If they win+12→ 1610
If they lose-20→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edgar Garcia55%
Brad Blackburn 45%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Garcia a 55% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Edgar Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1504, a 94-point edge.
Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Garcia 86%.
Brad Blackburn and Edgar Garcia share 1 common opponent: DaMarques Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.