Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Blackburn vs Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-13-1Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad BlackburnNow 1504
If they win+16→ 1520
If they lose-16→ 1488
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.70
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brad BlackburnEslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
15001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (33%)
5 (28%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem67%
Brad Blackburn 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 67% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1507), separated by just 3 points.

Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.