Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Blackburn vs James Giboo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-13-1Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamTBD

What's at stake

James Giboo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brad Blackburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad BlackburnNow 1504
If they win+18→ 1522
If they lose-14→ 1490
James GibooNow 1550
If they win+14→ 1564
If they lose-18→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
1.20
36%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.08
65%
Strike defense
39%
0.93
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad BlackburnJames Giboo
1500155016002008200920102011

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
4 (22%)
Submission
8 (62%)
5 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

James Giboo70%
Brad Blackburn 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes James Giboo a 70% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

James Giboo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1550 to 1504, a 46-point edge.

Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

James Giboo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, James Giboo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.