Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Blackburn vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-13-1Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad BlackburnNow 1504
If they win+16→ 1520
If they lose-16→ 1488
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.70
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brad BlackburnMaiwand Hamras
15001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (100%)
5 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras61%
Brad Blackburn 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 61% favorite over Brad Blackburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1509), separated by just 5 points.

Brad Blackburn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brad Blackburn finishes 72% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.