Brad Gumm vs CJ Fernandes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record14-8-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gumm Mixed Martial ArtsTeamHIT Squad
What's at stake
Brad Gumm is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — CJ Fernandes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1582
If they lose-17→ 1550
If they win+17→ 1556
If they lose-15→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad GummCJ Fernandes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brad Gumm and CJ Fernandes within a point of even.
Brad Gumm holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1539, a 28-point edge.
Brad Gumm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
CJ Fernandes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Gumm finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, CJ Fernandes 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.