Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Gumm vs Cláudio Nardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gumm Mixed Martial ArtsTeamDojo Samurai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad GummNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Cláudio NardoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brad GummCláudio Nardo
1550160016502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cláudio Nardo63%
Brad Gumm 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cláudio Nardo a 63% favorite over Brad Gumm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Brad Gumm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Gumm finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Cláudio Nardo 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.