Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Gumm vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gumm Mixed Martial ArtsTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad GummNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Brad GummKiefer Crosbie
155016001650200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Gumm53%
Kiefer Crosbie 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Gumm a 53% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Brad Gumm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Gumm finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.