Brad Gumm vs Shonie Carter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record52-32-7
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Gumm Mixed Martial ArtsTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Brad Gumm is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shonie Carter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1580
If they lose-19→ 1548
If they win+14→ 1511
If they lose-10→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad GummShonie Carter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Gumm51%
Shonie Carter 49%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Gumm a 51% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Brad Gumm holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1497, a 70-point edge.
Brad Gumm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Gumm finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.