Brad Jean-Elie vs Brock Lesnar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record5-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
-Reach81"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
TeamTeam Death Clutch
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad Jean-ElieBrock Lesnar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Jean-Elie52%
Brock Lesnar 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Jean-Elie a 52% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brock Lesnar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1561), separated by just 3 points.
Brad Jean-Elie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brock Lesnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brock Lesnar 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.