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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Jean-Elie vs Nandor Guelmino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record11-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight230 lbs
TeamGym 23· 1617 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad Jean-ElieNow 1558
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Nandor GuelminoNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
Not available
Strike defense
34%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
43%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad Jean-ElieNandor Guelmino
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Jean-Elie53%
Nandor Guelmino 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Jean-Elie a 53% favorite over Nandor Guelmino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1555), separated by just 3 points.

Brad Jean-Elie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nandor Guelmino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nandor Guelmino 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.