Brad Katona vs Garrett Armfield
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamSpringfield Fight Club
What's at stake
Brad Katona is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Garrett Armfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1668
If they lose-19→ 1636
If they win+19→ 1611
If they lose-13→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad KatonaGarrett Armfield
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brad Katona and Garrett Armfield within a point of even.
Brad Katona holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1592, a 63-point edge.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.
Garrett Armfield carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.