Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Katona vs Hunter Azure

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brad Katona
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Brad Katona

“Superman”

14-5-0BantamweightUFC

1655Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
64"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Brad Katona is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hunter Azure carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad KatonaNow 1655
If they win+15→ 1670
If they lose-17→ 1638
Hunter AzureNow 1627
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-15→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.92
53%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
50%
Strike defense
59%
1.88
Takedown avg.
1.97
34%
Takedown accuracy
35%
62%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Brad KatonaHunter Azure
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (21%)
Submission
1 (9%)
10 (71%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Katona53%
Hunter Azure 47%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Katona a 53% favorite over Hunter Azure in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Brad Katona holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1627, a 28-point edge.

Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Azure 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.