Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Katona vs Jamie Siraj

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brad Katona
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Brad Katona

“Superman”

14-5-0BantamweightUFC

1655Good
Jamie Siraj
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Jamie Siraj

“The Gremlin”

14-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1655Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad KatonaNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Jamie SirajNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brad KatonaJamie Siraj
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (21%)
Submission
7 (50%)
10 (71%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Siraj64%
Brad Katona 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Siraj a 64% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Katona's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1655), separated by just 0 points.

Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Siraj 79%.

Jamie Siraj carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.