Brad Katona vs Merab Dvalishvili
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
64"Reach 68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Brad Katona carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1679
If they lose-8→ 1647
If they win+6→ 1849
If they lose-18→ 1825
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1788 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad KatonaMerab Dvalishvili
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Merab Dvalishvili84%
Brad Katona 16%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 84% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1655, a 188-point edge.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Merab Dvalishvili 24%.
Merab Dvalishvili carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.