Brad Katona vs Russell Doane
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
64"Reach70,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamHawaii Elite MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad KatonaRussell Doane
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Katona52%
Russell Doane 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Katona a 52% favorite over Russell Doane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brad Katona finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.
Russell Doane carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.