Brad Kohler vs Steve Judson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-15-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
220 lbsWeight220 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Steve Judson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Brad Kohler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1436
If they lose-14→ 1404
If they win+22→ 1476
If they lose-26→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad KohlerSteve Judson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Judson57%
Brad Kohler 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Judson a 57% favorite over Brad Kohler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Steve Judson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1454 to 1418, a 36-point edge.
Steve Judson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Kohler finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.