Brad Mitchell vs Hyuga Miyagawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record7-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Octagon MMATeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad MitchellHyuga Miyagawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hyuga Miyagawa72%
Brad Mitchell 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hyuga Miyagawa a 72% favorite over Brad Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1500), separated by just 1 points.
Brad Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Mitchell finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Hyuga Miyagawa 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.