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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Mitchell vs Josh Kwiatkowski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brad Mitchell
us

Brad Mitchell

“The Bonecrusher”

4-2-0FeatherweightXKO

1499Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record11-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Octagon MMATeamAnimo Boxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad MitchellNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
Josh KwiatkowskiNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.30
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
59%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
3.45
Takedown avg.
Not available
41%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.58
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brad MitchellJosh Kwiatkowski
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (75%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Kwiatkowski57%
Brad Mitchell 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Kwiatkowski a 57% favorite over Brad Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1501), separated by just 2 points.

Brad Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Mitchell finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Josh Kwiatkowski 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.