Brad Morris vs Jason Brilz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record23-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gracie Barra SydneyTeamElite Performance
What's at stake
Jason Brilz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Brad Morris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1581
If they win+8→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad MorrisJason Brilz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Brilz72%
Brad Morris 28%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Brilz a 72% favorite over Brad Morris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jason Brilz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1592, a 122-point edge.
Brad Morris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Morris finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.