Brad Morris vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gracie Barra SydneyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad MorrisTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tuco Tokkos53%
Brad Morris 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 53% favorite over Brad Morris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Morris's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.
Brad Morris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Morris finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.