Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Chico Camus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record19-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

Chico Camus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brad Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+14→ 1636
If they lose-10→ 1612
Chico CamusNow 1674
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.58
32%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.46
56%
Strike defense
65%
2.47
Takedown avg.
0.77
45%
Takedown accuracy
40%
58%
Takedown defense
72%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Brad PickettChico Camus
16502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
10 (40%)
Submission
4 (21%)
8 (32%)
Decision
11 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Chico Camus75%
Brad Pickett 25%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Chico Camus a 75% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Chico Camus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1622, a 52-point edge.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Chico Camus 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.