Brad Pickett vs Damacio Page
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record20-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Brad Pickett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damacio Page carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1609
If they win+13→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad PickettDamacio Page
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damacio Page60%
Brad Pickett 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Damacio Page a 60% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Pickett's way (46%).
Brad Pickett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1593, a 29-point edge.
Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Damacio Page 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.