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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Eddie Wineland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record24-16-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamDuneland Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Eddie WinelandNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
32%
Strike accuracy
29%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.76
56%
Strike defense
68%
2.47
Takedown avg.
0.34
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
58%
Takedown defense
86%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Brad PickettEddie Wineland
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
10 (40%)
Submission
4 (17%)
8 (32%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brad Pickett and Eddie Wineland within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1612), separated by just 10 points.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Eddie Wineland 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.