Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Ian McCall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian McCall
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Ian McCall

“Uncle Creepy”

13-7-1FlyweightRFF

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record13-7-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Oyama

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Ian McCallNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
3.59
32%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
56%
Strike defense
67%
2.47
Takedown avg.
2.08
45%
Takedown accuracy
30%
58%
Takedown defense
89%
0.44
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad PickettIan McCall
16502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
10 (40%)
Submission
3 (23%)
8 (32%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Ian McCall65%
Brad Pickett 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ian McCall a 65% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ian McCall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Ian McCall 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.