Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Neil Seery

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Seery
ie

Neil Seery

“2 Tap”

16-13-0FlyweightUFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record16-13-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

Brad Pickett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Neil Seery carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+11→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1609
Neil SeeryNow 1579
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
32%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
56%
Strike defense
59%
2.47
Takedown avg.
0.78
45%
Takedown accuracy
28%
58%
Takedown defense
54%
0.44
Submission avg.
1.55

Trajectory

Brad PickettNeil Seery
16001650201520162017

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
10 (40%)
Submission
6 (38%)
8 (32%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brad Pickett and Neil Seery within a point of even.

Brad Pickett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1579, a 43-point edge.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Neil Seery enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Neil Seery 75%.

Brad Pickett carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.