Brad Pickett vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record22-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brad Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1613
If they win+9→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad PickettThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Almeida83%
Brad Pickett 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Almeida a 83% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1622, a 79-point edge.
Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.