Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Toshiomi Kazama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach 69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Toshiomi KazamaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
32%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
56%
Strike defense
43%
2.47
Takedown avg.
1.68
45%
Takedown accuracy
13%
58%
Takedown defense
67%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Brad PickettToshiomi Kazama
165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
10 (40%)
Submission
6 (55%)
8 (32%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Toshiomi Kazama70%
Brad Pickett 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Toshiomi Kazama a 70% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Pickett's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.