Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Bruno Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record15-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionFlyweight
5'11"Height5'4"
74"Reach65"
185 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad TavaresNow 1698
If they win+9→ 1707
If they lose-15→ 1683
Bruno SilvaNow 1619
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-9→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
44%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.69
55%
Strike defense
52%
0.70
Takedown avg.
2.01
25%
Takedown accuracy
25%
80%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Brad TavaresBruno Silva
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
2 (10%)
Submission
5 (33%)
14 (67%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Tavares67%
Bruno Silva 33%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 67% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1619, a 79-point edge.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Silva 73%.

Brad Tavares carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.