Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Bubba McDaniel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bubba McDaniel
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Bubba McDaniel

“The Menace”

31-10-0Light HeavyweightECF

1545Average

Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record31-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight204 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD

What's at stake

Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Bubba McDaniel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad TavaresNow 1698
If they win+7→ 1705
If they lose-17→ 1681
Bubba McDanielNow 1545
If they win+23→ 1568
If they lose-9→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
1.64
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.93
25%
Takedown accuracy
50%
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Brad TavaresBubba McDaniel
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
10 (32%)
2 (10%)
Submission
19 (61%)
14 (67%)
Decision
2 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Tavares80%
Bubba McDaniel 20%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 80% favorite over Bubba McDaniel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1545, a 153-point edge.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Bubba McDaniel 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.