Brad Tavares vs Chris Weidman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
74"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresChris Weidman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares62%
Chris Weidman 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 62% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Weidman's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1705), separated by just 7 points.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Chris Weidman 63%.
Brad Tavares and Chris Weidman share 2 common opponents: Eryk Anders and Omari Akhmedov.
Chris Weidman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.