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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Edmen Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record17-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Edmen Shahbazyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad TavaresNow 1699
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-11→ 1688
Edmen ShahbazyanNow 1732
If they win+14→ 1746
If they lose-18→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.43
25%
Takedown accuracy
24%
80%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Brad TavaresEdmen Shahbazyan
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
13 (76%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (6%)
14 (67%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmen Shahbazyan57%
Brad Tavares 43%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 57% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Edmen Shahbazyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1699, a 33-point edge.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 82%.

Brad Tavares and Edmen Shahbazyan share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Gerald Meerschaert
LossSubmission · 2024