Brad Tavares vs Edmen Shahbazyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Edmen Shahbazyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
If they win+15→ 1731
If they lose-17→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresEdmen Shahbazyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edmen Shahbazyan64%
Brad Tavares 36%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 64% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Edmen Shahbazyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1698, a 18-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 88%.
Brad Tavares and Edmen Shahbazyan share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.