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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Elias Theodorou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record19-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach75,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKros Gym

What's at stake

Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad TavaresNow 1699
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-10→ 1689
Elias TheodorouNow 1772
If they win+13→ 1785
If they lose-19→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.27
25%
Takedown accuracy
28%
80%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad TavaresElias Theodorou
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (5%)
14 (67%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Theodorou54%
Brad Tavares 46%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 54% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1699, a 73-point edge.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Elias Theodorou 47%.

Brad Tavares and Elias Theodorou share 1 common opponent: Eryk Anders.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Eryk Anders
WinDEC · 2018