Brad Tavares vs Krzysztof Jotko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1714
If they lose-9→ 1690
If they win+9→ 1782
If they lose-15→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresKrzysztof Jotko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko61%
Brad Tavares 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 61% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1699, a 74-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.
Brad Tavares and Krzysztof Jotko share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Krzysztof Jotko carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.