Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad TavaresNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
55%
Strike defense
51%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.21
25%
Takedown accuracy
57%
80%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Brad TavaresMichel Pereira
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
2 (10%)
Submission
9 (28%)
14 (67%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Pereira59%
Brad Tavares 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 59% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Tavares's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1695), separated by just 3 points.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.