Brad Tavares vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Phil Baroni carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1706
If they lose-17→ 1682
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-7→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares90%
Phil Baroni 10%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 90% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1547, a 152-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.