Brad Tavares vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker66%
Brad Tavares 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 66% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1698, a 41-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.
Brad Tavares and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Dricus Du Plessis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.