Brad Tavares vs Seth Baczynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record21-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Seth Baczynski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1706
If they lose-17→ 1682
If they win+17→ 1571
If they lose-7→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresSeth Baczynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares89%
Seth Baczynski 11%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 89% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1554, a 145-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.