Brad Tavares vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-10→ 1689
If they win+10→ 1755
If they lose-14→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares53%
Thales Leites 47%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 53% favorite over Thales Leites in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thales Leites's way (43%).
Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1699, a 46-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Thales Leites carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.