Brad Tavares vs Tim Boetsch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Boetsch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1709
If they lose-14→ 1685
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresTim Boetsch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares77%
Tim Boetsch 23%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 77% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1631, a 68-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.
Brad Tavares and Tim Boetsch share 2 common opponents: Omari Akhmedov and Antônio Carlos Jr..
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.