Brad Tavares vs Yoel Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yoel Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
If they win+14→ 1745
If they lose-18→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresYoel Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brad Tavares and Yoel Romero within a point of even.
Yoel Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1698, a 33-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.