Brad Tavares vs Yoel Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record17-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yoel Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-11→ 1688
If they win+14→ 1749
If they lose-18→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresYoel Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares61%
Yoel Romero 39%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 61% favorite over Yoel Romero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoel Romero's way (45%).
Yoel Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1699, a 36-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.