Combat Edge Intelligence

Bradley Scott vs Carlo Pedersoli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76,0"Reach40.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dragons Lair MMATeamAurora MMA

What's at stake

Bradley Scott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Carlo Pedersoli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bradley ScottNow 1586
If they win+13→ 1599
If they lose-19→ 1567
Carlo PedersoliNow 1517
If they win+29→ 1546
If they lose-19→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
57%
Strike defense
61%
0.32
Takedown avg.
2.91
15%
Takedown accuracy
44%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.65
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bradley ScottCarlo Pedersoli
150015501600165020172018

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
5 (45%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (9%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlo Pedersoli56%
Bradley Scott 44%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlo Pedersoli a 56% favorite over Bradley Scott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bradley Scott's way (40%).

Bradley Scott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1586 to 1517, a 69-point edge.

Bradley Scott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bradley Scott finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Carlo Pedersoli 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.