Brady Hiestand vs Fernie Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Brady Hiestand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Fernie Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-20→ 1662
If they win+20→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brady HiestandFernie Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brady Hiestand71%
Fernie Garcia 29%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 71% favorite over Fernie Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Brady Hiestand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1589, a 93-point edge.
Brady Hiestand enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Fernie Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brady Hiestand finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Fernie Garcia 40%.
Brady Hiestand and Fernie Garcia share 1 common opponent: Rinya Nakamura.
Brady Hiestand carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.