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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Garrett Armfield

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSpringfield Fight Club

What's at stake

Brady Hiestand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Garrett Armfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brady HiestandNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-20→ 1662
Garrett ArmfieldNow 1593
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
51%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
51%
Strike defense
56%
4.80
Takedown avg.
1.10
15%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
65%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Brady HiestandGarrett Armfield
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Brady Hiestand69%
Garrett Armfield 31%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 69% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Brady Hiestand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1593, a 89-point edge.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.