Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Lito Adiwang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lito Adiwang
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Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1661Good

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record18-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
71"Reach65.4"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Lito AdiwangNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
4.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.07
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brady HiestandLito Adiwang
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (22%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brady Hiestand and Lito Adiwang within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Lito Adiwang enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lito Adiwang 78%.

Brady Hiestand carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.