Brady Hiestand vs Ricky Turcios
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Brady Hiestand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ricky Turcios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-20→ 1662
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brady HiestandRicky Turcios
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brady Hiestand63%
Ricky Turcios 37%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 63% favorite over Ricky Turcios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Brady Hiestand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1593, a 89-point edge.
Brady Hiestand enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brady Hiestand finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.