Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SikjitsuTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Brady Hiestand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ricky Turcios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brady HiestandNow 1660
If they win+13→ 1673
If they lose-19→ 1641
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+19→ 1611
If they lose-13→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
51%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
51%
Strike defense
52%
4.80
Takedown avg.
0.91
46%
Takedown accuracy
20%
43%
Takedown defense
44%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Brady HiestandRicky Turcios
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (25%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Brady Hiestand67%
Ricky Turcios 33%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 67% favorite over Ricky Turcios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Brady Hiestand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1592, a 68-point edge.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.