Combat Edge Intelligence

Brahyan Zurcher vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cobrinha BJJTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brahyan ZurcherNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Brahyan ZurcherThiago Tavares
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (33%)
Submission
15 (63%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Brahyan Zurcher70%
Thiago Tavares 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brahyan Zurcher a 70% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Brahyan Zurcher finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Brahyan Zurcher carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.